Big 12 Basketball: High-Low Preview

    
October 2nd, 2009

Everybody loves a prediction. It's a fact. People that claim to hate sports predictions are just jealous that no one cares what they have to say (or their predictions are never right). But sometimes when making predictions, certain teams or groups of teams are truly to close to call. On CHN or in preview mags, we do our best to slot teams into specific spots, but sometimes you just want to say honestly, teams A, B, and C are virtually the same and luck will determine how they finish. You can't say that in a Top 144 ranking, but I'm saying it here in a series of High-Low predictions, which includes a range for each team's finish and a few reasons why.

 

(How about the high production values with that picture?..)

 

 

BIG 12 HIGH-LOW

While it's hard to see anyone knocking Kansas out of the top spot, there's a ton of parity between teams 3 through 9.

* my projected finish in yellow

 

 

 

BAYLOR

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9 10 11

12

On the one hand, Baylor "seems" like a program on the rise that is on pace to finish in the upper half of the league.. on the other hand you have a 5-11 team losing almost 40 ppg worth of scoring. One of the more perplexing teams to project.

 

COLORADO

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9 10 11

12

After winning just 1 game last year, Colorado has to be better. But in a league that's so talented, it's hard to expect much more then 3-4 wins. Next year, the program should finally take a step up.

 

IOWA STATE

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9 10 11

12

With a star player in Craig Brackins and a coach I respect in Greg McDermott, the pieces are in place for Iowa State to surprise some people in 2010. Should be right there with likes of Mizzou and A&M fighting for the final tourney bid.

 

KANSAS

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9 10 11

12

The only team in the series so far without a high-low range.. it's almost impossible to imagine Texas or anyone else taking the top spot barring a horrible injury streak.

 

KANSAS STATE

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9 10 11

12

K-State has finished over .500 in league play for 3 straight seasons, a streak which should continue in 2010. For the team to have a special season, one of transfer Curtis Kelly or freshman Wally Judge will need to emerge as a legit frontcourt force.

 

MISSOURI

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9 10 11

12

After three rather blah years, Mizzou broke out in a big way with an Elite 8 run last year. Now that they've lost their 3 best players, opinion differs across the board about how far the Tigers will fall.

 

NEBRASKA

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9 10 11

12

Nebraska usually manages to a) be slightly better then you expect, but b) still not good. On paper, this looks like a last-place contender, but yet you know they'll somehow win 6 or 7 league games.

 

OKLAHOMA

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9 10 11

12

It's not easy overcoming the loss of your leading scorer, top 3 rebounders, and leading assist guy. Helping ease the pain is a top-notch recruiting class, but a slide to 6th is certainly not out of the question.

 

OKLAHOMA STATE

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9 10 11

12

The Coyboys have a lot of talented players, but the big hole at PG following the graduation of Byron Eaton may prevent them from being a serious contender. Will be a bubble tourney team in the mold of A&M & Oklahoma.

 

TEXAS

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9 10 11

12

Outside of KU, Texas is the only Big 12 team whose front-court can compete at an elite level. It will be the impact of new guards Avery Bradley, Jai Lucas, and J'Covan Brown that determines if the Horns can make a serious March run.

 

TEXAS A&M

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9 10 11

12

Like the two teams above, A&M loses its best player in Josh Carter, but is still in line for a tourney bid. Even without Chinemelu Elonu, the likes of Bryan Davis and David Loubeau should more then hold their own in a league that is guard-heavy.

 

TEXAS TECH

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9 10 11

12

There's no reason to expect much out of Tech this year. Their talent is sub-par and their coach has yet to prove he's capable. 4-5 league wins seems about right.

 

 

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