Bracketology: Colorado St In, Mississippi St Out

    
March 9th, 2012

Bracketology projections will be coming fast and furious right up until Selection Sunday. While the top two seed lines remain unchanged in this update, there are a ton of changes around the Bubble. Colorado St not only moves into the field, but jumps to an 11 seed, as competitors like Seton Hall, Washington, and Northwestern faltered.

 

However, the big loser is Mississippi St, who drops out of the field. The Bulldogs fell to Georgia in the SEC Tournament, their sixth loss in eight tries. Mississippi St is also looking at an RPI in the 70's when the #'s update tomorrow morning. Drexel is currently the last team out, but I could move them into the field before Sunday. A10 hopefuls St. Joseph's and Dayton have big games tomorrow.. a loss by either would eliminate them from contention.

 

Why Pay Attention to What I Have to Say: Collegehoops.net's projections have consistently proven to be the best in the business. Over the last 4 years, Shawn Siegel is the #1 ranked Bracketologist according to the Bracket Project. This ranking includes the likes of Joe Lunardi, Gary Parrish, Jerry Palm, and Andy Glockner.. none of whom come close. 

 

As always, the field below is a prediction of what the committee would do as things stand today, not what they should do. This is done by taking into account standings, polls, computer rankings, and the committee's historical biases. Check out the follow up Bubble Watch for updates about teams on the NCAA Tournament Bubble, and NITology for a ranking of the best of the rest.

 

Notes:

Arrows indicate how many seeds a team has moved up or down since the previous update. Teams in Green are new to the field today. Teams in CAPS have locked up a bid. **=Projected Conference Champs. Locked Up Bid.

 

 

ONE

Kentucky**

Syracuse**

Kansas**

North Carolina

 

TWO

Missouri

Duke**

Ohio State

Michigan St**

 

THREE

Michigan

Baylor

Marquette

Wisconsin

 

FOUR

Indiana

Georgetown

Murray St**

Wichita St

 

FIVE

Florida St

UNLV

Temple**

Creighton**

 

SIX

Florida

Vanderbilt

Saint Mary's**

Louisville

 

SEVEN

Gonzaga

San Diego St**

Memphis**

Notre Dame

 

EIGHT

New Mexico

Saint Louis

Alabama

Purdue

 

NINE

Cincinnati

Virginia

Iowa St

Kansas St

 

TEN

California**

Southern Miss

Harvard**

UCONN

 

ELEVEN

VCU**

West Virginia

Colorado St

Texas

 

TWELVE

Long Beach**

Tennessee

BYU

Xavier

 

THIRTEEN + 2

Seton Hall / Miami

Washington / Northwestern

Belmont**

Nevada**

 

FOURTEEN

Davidson**

South Dakota St**

Akron**

Montana**

 

FIFTEEN

Loyola (MD)**

Long Island**

Lehigh**

Texas-Arlington**

 

SIXTEEN + 2

Detroit**

UNC-Asheville**

Stony Brook** / Mississippi Valley St**

Western Kentucky** / Savannah St**

 

Last In: Northwestern, Washington, Miami, Seton Hall

 

First Out: Drexel, Mississippi St, Oregon, South Florida

Further Four: NC State, Ole Miss, St. Joseph's, Dayton

 

Dropped Out Of Field (at-large): Mississippi St

New (at-large): Colorado St

 

 

Conference Bids

- Multiple Bid Leagues

 

Big East - 9

Big Ten - 7

Big 12 - 6

ACC - 5

SEC - 5

MWC - 4

A-10 - 3

WCC - 3

CUSA - 2

MVC - 2

Pac-12 - 2

------------------- (20 one-bid leagues)

 

League Leaders/Winners (31)

- #1 team according to current standings

- New leaders in green

- Locked Up Bid

 

America East - Stony Brook
A-10 - Temple
ACC - Duke
Atlantic Sun - Belmont
Big 12 - Kansas
Big Ea
st - Syracuse
Big Sky - Montana
Big South - UNC-Asheville
Big Ten - Michigan St
Big West - Long Beach
CAA - VCU
Conference USA - Memphis
Horizon - Detroit
Ivy - Harvard
MAAC - Loyola (MD)
MAC - Akron
MEAC - Savannah St
MVC - Creighton
MWC - San Diego St
Northeast - Long Island
Ohio Valley - Murray St
Pac-12 - California
Patriot - Lehigh
SEC - Kentucky
Southern - Davidson
Southland - Texas-Arlington
SWAC - Mississippi Valley St
Summit - South Dakota St
Sun Belt - Western Kentucky
WAC - Nevada
WCC - Saint Mary's

 

Check out Bubble Watch for updates and NITology for teams that are 2nd best. Follow Shawn @collegehoopsnet for his up to the minute bracketology thoughts.