Bracketology: Saturday Evening NCAA Tournament Projection

    
March 10th, 2012
7:00 PM Saturday: Bracketology projections will be coming fast and furious right up until Selection Sunday, expect another update at midnight following the rest of the day's action. Please check out my review of each of Saturday's games (including Duke's loss, Ohio St's big win, and Xavier's win) and how it impacted this NCAA Tournament projection.

 

Why Pay Attention to What I Have to Say: Collegehoops.net's projections have consistently proven to be the best in the business. Over the last 4 years, Shawn Siegel is the #1 ranked Bracketologist according to the Bracket Project. This ranking includes the likes of Joe Lunardi, Gary Parrish, Jerry Palm, and Andy Glockner.. none of whom come close. 

 

As always, the field below is a prediction of what the committee would do as things stand today, not what they should do. This is done by taking into account standings, polls, computer rankings, and the committee's historical biases. Check out the follow up Bubble Watch for updates about teams on the NCAA Tournament Bubble, and NITology for a ranking of the best of the rest.

 

Notes:

Arrows indicate how many seeds a team has moved up or down since the previous update. Teams in Green are new to the field today. Teams in CAPS have locked up a bid. **=Projected Conference Champs. Locked Up Bid.

 

 

ONE

Kentucky**

Syracuse

North Carolina

Michigan St**

 

TWO

Missouri**

Duke**

Ohio State

Kansas

 

THREE

Baylor

Marquette

Michigan

Wisconsin

 

FOUR

Indiana

Georgetown

Murray St

Wichita St

 

FIVE

Florida St

Louisville 

Florida

Vanderbilt

 

SIX

Creighton

Saint Mary's

Temple

San Diego St**

 

SEVEN

Memphis

UNLV

New Mexico

Cincinnati**

 

EIGHT

Gonzaga

Notre Dame

Saint Louis

Iowa St

 

NINE

Alabama

Purdue

Kansas St

UCONN

 

TEN

Harvard**

Southern Miss

VCU**

California

 

ELEVEN

West Virginia

Virginia

Xavier**

Colorado St

 

TWELVE

Long Beach**

BYU

NC State

Texas / Seton Hall

 

THIRTEEN + 2

Arizona**

Tennessee / Northwestern

Belmont**

Davidson

 

FOURTEEN

New Mexico St**

South Dakota St

Akron**

Montana

 

FIFTEEN

Loyola (MD)

Long Island

Lehigh

Detroit

 

SIXTEEN + 2

UNC-Asheville

Lamar

Vermont / Mississippi Valley St**

Norfolk St / Western Kentucky

 

Last In: Northwestern, Tennessee, NC State, Seton Hall

 

First Out: Drexel, South Florida, Miami, Mississippi St

 

Further Four: Washington, Ole Miss, Iona, Dayton

Dropped Out Of Field (at-large): xx

New (at-large): xx

 

 

Conference Bids

- Multiple Bid Leagues

 

Big East - 9

Big Ten - 7

Big 12 - 6

ACC - 5

SEC - 5

MWC - 4

A-10 - 3

WCC - 3

CUSA - 2

MVC - 2

Pac-12 - 2

------------------- (20 one-bid leagues)

 

League Leaders/Winners (31)

- #1 team according to current standings

- New leaders in green

- Locked Up Bid

 

America East - Vermont
A-10 - Xavier
ACC - North Carolina
Atlantic Sun - Belmont
Big 12 - Missouri
Big East - Cincinnati
Big Sky - Montana
Big South - UNC-Asheville
Big Ten - Michigan St
Big West - Long Beach
CAA - VCU
Conference USA - Memphis
Horizon - Detroit
Ivy - Harvard
MAAC - Loyola (MD)
MAC - Akron
MEAC - Norfolk St
MVC - Creighton
MWC - San Diego St
Northeast - Long Island
Ohio Valley - Murray St
Pac-12 - Arizona
Patriot - Lehigh
SEC - Kentucky
Southern - Davidson
Southland - Lamar
SWAC - Mississippi Valley St
Summit - South Dakota St
Sun Belt - Western Kentucky
WAC - New Mexico St
WCC - Saint Mary's

 

Check out Bubble Watch for updates and NITology for teams that are 2nd best. Follow Shawn @collegehoopsnet for his up to the minute bracketology thoughts.