Bracketology: South Florida In, UCONN Out, Tennessee Close

    
March 2nd, 2012
Since we're down to the stretch run, Bracketology projections will be coming fast and furious instead of once a week. The big news is that South Florida enters the field for the first time. The Bulls beat Louisville and replace UCONN who lost to Providence earlier in the week.

 

Northwestern and Xavier, who both lost to quality teams, remain in the field but fall closer to the bubble. Cincinnati now looks relatively safe as a 10 seed after beating Marquette. Other teams that moved multiple seeds include Vanderbilt up two and Virginia down two. A few days after losing its #2 seed, Ohio St regained it with a win and Marquette's loss.

 

Why Pay Attention to What I Have to Say: Collegehoops.net's projections have consistently proven to be the best in the business. Over the last 4 years, Shawn Siegel is the #1 ranked Bracketologist according to the Bracket Project. This ranking includes the likes of Joe Lunardi, Gary Parrish, Jerry Palm, and Andy Glockner.. none of whom come close. 

 

As always, the field below is a prediction of what the committee would do as things stand today, not what they should do. This is done by taking into account standings, polls, computer rankings, and the committee's historical biases. Check out the follow up Bubble Watch for updates about teams on the NCAA Tournament Bubble, and NITology for a ranking of the best of the rest.

 

Notes:

Arrows indicate how many seeds a team has moved up or down since the previous update. Teams in Green are new to the field today. Teams in CAPS have locked up a bid. **=Projected Conference Champs

 

 

ONE

Kentucky**

Syracuse**

Duke**

Kansas**

 

TWO

North Carolina

Michigan St**

Missouri

Ohio State

 

THREE

Marquette

Baylor

Georgetown

Michigan

 

FOUR

Wisconsin

Indiana

Wichita St**

Florida St

 

FIVE

Murray St**

Florida

Vanderbilt

UNLV

 

SIX

Louisville

Temple**

Gonzaga

Creighton

 

SEVEN

Notre Dame

San Diego St**

Memphis**

Saint Mary's**

 

EIGHT

Iowa St

Purdue

New Mexico

Saint Louis

 

NINE

Virginia

Alabama

California

Kansas St

 

TEN

Southern Miss

Washington**

Cincinnati

BYU

 

ELEVEN

Harvard**

Miami

Long Beach**

Seton Hall

 

TWELVE + 1

West Virginia

Mississippi St

South Florida

Texas  / Northwestern

 

THIRTEEN + 1

Xavier / Arizona

Iona**

Drexel**

Oral Roberts**

FOURTEEN

Belmont**

Middle Tennessee**

Nevada**

Davidson**

 

FIFTEEN

Akron**

Montana**

Valparaiso**

Bucknell**

 

SIXTEEN + 2

Long Island**

Texas-Arlington**

UNC-Asheville** / Mississippi Valley St**

Stony Brook** / Savannah St**

 

Last In: Arizona, Xavier, Northwestern, Texas

 

First Out: Colorado St, Tennessee, UCONN, NC State

Further Four: VCU, St. Joseph's, Oregon, Dayton

 

Dropped Out Of Field (at-large): UCONN

New (at-large): South Florida

 

 

Conference Bids

- Multiple Bid Leagues

 

Big East - 9

Big Ten - 7

Big 12 - 6

ACC - 5

SEC - 5

A-10 - 3

MWC - 3

Pac-12 - 3

WCC - 3

CUSA - 2

MVC - 2

------------------- (20 one-bid leagues)

 

League Leaders/Winners (31)

- #1 team according to current standings

- New leaders in green

 

America East - Stony Brook
A-10 - Temple
ACC - Duke
Atlantic Sun - Belmont
Big 12 - Kansas
Big East - Syra
cuse
Big Sky - Montana
Big South - UNC-Asheville
Big Ten - Michigan St
Big West - Long Beach
CAA - Drexel
Conference USA - Memphis
Horizon - Valparaiso
Ivy - Harvard
MAAC - Iona
MAC - Akron
MEAC - Savannah St
MVC - Wichita St
MWC - San Diego St
Northeast - Long Island
Ohio Valley - Murray St
Pac-12 - Washington
Patriot - Bucknell
SEC - Kentucky
Southern - Davidson
Southland - Texas-Arlington
SWAC - Mississippi Valley St
Summit - Oral Roberts
Sun Belt - Middle Tennessee
WAC - Nevada
WCC - Saint Mary's

 

Check out Bubble Watch for updates and more in-depth looks at teams on the NCAA Bubble. Also, NITology covers teams that are 2nd best..