Bubble Watch: Memphis, Arkansas, UNI On the Edge

    
January 10th, 2012

Based on CollegeHoops.net's most recent Bracketology projection, here is how the NCAA Tournament Bubble currently stands. CHN will publish Bubble Watch on Tuesday's following the Bracketology update.

 

As always, the field below is a prediction of what the committee would do as things stand today, not what they should do. Teams are listed in order of likelihood of making the tournament.

 

This week's notes: BYU & Iowa St jump into the field, replacing Florida St, Pittsburgh, and Minnesota. Dayton also enters the field as the new A10 leader, but as you see below, they'd most likely make the tourney as an at-large bid currently. Memphis remains just on the fringe, and Arkansas enters the bubble picture for the first time. Ohio, though still in the tourney as the projected MAC champs, would no longer be considered for an at-large bid in these projections.

 

 

Change  Seed  Team Conf. Record RPI KenPom Sagarin AP
11 Texas B12 11-4 72 26 44  
  11 Arizona P12 11-5 57 42 61  
  12 Marshall CUSA 10-4 46 54 51  
  12 Cincinnati BE 13-4 109 43 60  
  12 Virginia Tech ACC 11-4 40 38 41  
12 Xavier A10 10-5 51 61 69  
12 BYU WCC 12-4 45 21 28  
  13 Northwestern B10 11-4 31 67 50  
13 Iowa St B12 12-3 44 53 54 38
Bubble                
    Memphis CUSA 10-5 36 31 30  
  Arkansas SEC 12-3 82 79 76 34
    Northern Iowa MVC 11-4 23 47 46  
    St. Joseph's A10 11-5 47 59 57  
  Florida St ACC 9-6 85 46 73  
  Pittsburgh BE 11-5 84 62 77  
    NC State ACC 12-4 48 54 55  
  Colorado St B12 10-4 28 96 67  
  Minnesota B10 12-5 31 66 66  

 

Dropped Out of Bubble Watch: Ole Miss, Texas A&M, Washington

 

 

Projected Conference Champs that would be on the Bubble if they lost title:

 

Change  Seed  Team Conf. Record RPI KenPom Sagarin AP
10 Southern Miss CUSA 13-2 11 72 34  
11 Dayton A10 12-4 17 48 42 37
  11 Iona MAAC 13-3 32 41 37  
  13 Middle Tennessee SB 14-2 86 58 43  
Bubble                
13 Ohio MAC 11-3 68 76 58  
  13 Long Beach St BW 8-6 22 40 38  
    Belmont ASUN 10-6 98 36 59  
  Oral Roberts SUM 14-4 53 52 48  
  Nevada WAC 11-3 81 86 79  
  Davidson SoCo 9-4 41 73 62  

 

Projected Conference Leaders Out of Bubble Watch: Cleveland St

 


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