As always, the field below is a prediction of what the committee would do as things stand today, not what they should do. Teams are listed in order of likelihood of making the tournament. (Records listed only against D1 teams.)
This week's notes: Seton Hall & Texas both return to the field of 68 this week after having dropped out. Texas is a darling of the computer rankings despite the fact they haven't beaten a ranked team all season.
Ole Miss & Colorado St each drop out after shortly being the field. Ole Miss is the opposite of Texas.. while they have very similar RPI's the other two rankings despise the Rebels.
Miami, despite losing to FSU this week, still looks good in the computer rankings. If they beat UNC on Wednesday, Miami will undoubtedly enter the field. They could replace NC State, who has a brutal stretch of games coming up against Duke, FSU, and UNC. NC State is in the field because of their 7-3 ACC record, but they've gotten lucky with scheduling. That will now change.
Right now, Washington is in the field over Arizona in the Pac-12. My guess is that the committee will want two Pac-12 teams in the Dance, and it might simply come down to whoever is 1-2 in the standings. (Right now, Washington has a 1-game lead on Arizona, Oregon, and Colorado.)
Dropped Out of Bubble Watch:Marshall
Projected Conference Champs that would be on the Bubble if they lost title:
|12||Long Beach St||BW||17-6||42||40||47||30|
Projected Conference Leaders Out of Bubble Watch:Davidson, Iona