BubbleBoard: Michigan Rises, Minnesota Sinks

    
March 8th, 2009 by Shawn Siegel
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RPI #'s updated as of 3/08/09, 1:10 pm.

 

The BubbleBoard is a new feature on CHN that ranks at-large contenders using a variety of standard resume components. The core of the ranking is the RPI, and like the RPI, the better you are, the lower your total score is. Bonus points are awarded for Top 50 success (particularly) & Road/Neutral wins. Further bonuses are awarded for playing challenging schedules, and to a lesser extent, challenging schedules in non-conference play.

 

The key reason the BubbleBoard exists is to expose teams that have performed extremely poorly in Top 50 games and games away from home. Ultimately, you want tourney teams capable of competing with the best away from home.

 

Interesting changes since previous update on 3/06

- Note that the latest update does not include any Sunday games beginning 2pm or later.

- I made a slight tweek in the formula today. Teams with a lot of Top 50 wins, but with sub-.500 records in those games were being overrated a bit too much.

- Texas A&M moves closer to lock status, while Dayton & Creighton actually improve due to former opponents moving into the Top 50.

- BYU is a virtual lock at this point along with Butler.

- Big losers include Oklahoma St (loss to OU not a huge deal, but earlier wins losing value), Minnesota (loss to UM), Cincy (devastating home loss to SHU), and Rhode Island.

 

Faker teams: Florida, George Mason, Maryland, Miami, Oklahoma St, Providence, San Diego St, South Carolina, Siena, Temple, UAB, USC

Dangerous teams: Boston College, Butler, BYU, Dayton, Northwestern, Penn St

 

- Auburn, Illinois St, and Northwestern added to BubbleBoard for the first time.

 

Team RPI SOS NCSOS Comp. = T50 W T50 L R/N W R/N L Bonus = Total = Was
Pittsburgh 1 9 19 2 9 2 9 3 57 -55 -50
BYU 22 55 63 23 4 3 10 4 25 -3 -7
Butler* 18 90 15 21 2 1 11 3 19 2 2
Dayton 24 88 120 29 4 2 7 6 23 6 11
Texas A&M 29 44 156 30 4 5 7 6 17 13 18
Michigan 42 10 57 33 6 9 5 9 17 15 16
Wisconsin 32 6 36 24 4 9 6 8 7 17 9
Ohio St 38 32 129 34 5 8 5 6 16 19 12
Oklahoma St 26 8 31 20 3 9 6 8 1 19 4
Creighton 39 105 133 41 3 3 11 5 20 22 28
Minnesota 41 42 188 40 5 7 5 6 17 22 9
Temple 30 35 20 25 1 5 10 9 0 25 26
Georgetown 47 3 8 33 4 8 5 8 8 25 16
Siena* 24 67 2 22 0 4 9 7 -4 26 28
Utah St* 27 133 172 37 1 2 10 4 9 28 28
Arizona 52 29 66 41 5 8 5 9 13 28 25
Illinois St 45 110 186 48 2 1 11 6 16 32 NA
UNLV 55 87 150 52 4 4 6 6 18 34 17
Boston College 54 64 221 52 4 4 6 6 18 34 28
Saint Mary's 50 179 94 54 2 2 12 4 17 37 33
San Diego St 44 61 95 40 1 5 7 6 -1 41 32
Penn State 61 95 309 63 6 8 6 7 22 41 31
Northwestern 70 60 207 62 6 8 4 7 20 42 NA
New Mexico 57 84 179 54 3 4 6 8 10 44 41
UAB 43 65 47 37 0 5 8 9 -8 46 44
George Mason 46 99 38 42 0 2 7 9 -4 46 52
Miami 51 23 225 47 2 7 6 7 0 47 43
Virginia Tech 59 25 162 50 2 7 8 7 2 48 47
Cincinnati 72 30 76 56 4 9 5 8 6 50 29
Florida 49 92 253 52 2 6 6 8 1 51 51
Maryland 65 26 138 53 3 8 4 8 1 52 39
Kentucky 79 63 181 68 4 6 7 6 15 52 52
USC 58 28 65 46 2 8 3 10 -8 53 49
Davidson* 68 173 16 63 1 4 13 3 9 53 51
Rhode Island 63 142 130 61 2 5 10 7 7 54 39
South Carolina 48 91 273 52 1 5 5 6 -3 55 57
Auburn 64 69 203 59 2 5 5 7 2 56 NA
Providence 71 48 155 60 2 8 5 8 -4 64 50

 

*Teams leading their leagues

 

NC-SOS = Non-conference strength of schedule

Comp. = Modified RPI taking into account SOS/NCSOS a bit more

R/N = Road/neutral

 

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