Daily Bracketology: Monday

    
March 10th, 2008

Another day, another daily Field of 65. This is a field based on how the tourney looks "as of this moment." For one-bid leagues, I simply include the conference leader at the time of publishing. In case of ties, I use my projected winner.

 

Arrows indicate a team that moved up or down based on last night's performance. (Just because a team won or lost doesn't necessarily mean they'll move substantially.)

 

Note on Monday's Movement: At this point, the changes that everyone cares about are on the bubble.. where it seems like nobody but Kentucky really wants to make the Big Dance. Maryland, Virginia Tech, and Florida all fizzled out, but at least the Hokies put up a good fight. Those three teams drop out and are replaced by Ohio State, Dayton, and Arizona State. Dayton at .500 in A10 play might seem controversial... but they have some of the best non-conference wins in the country and the A10 is as good as the Big Ten this year. Basically it comes down to this.. if Arizona's in (and they are as of now), then how could you keep Dayton out? The same might also be said of Ole Miss, who I have back on the fringe.. though some other pundits will have them in the field.

 

Syracuse remains on the outside looking in, but could certainly make a strong claim against Villanova in the first round of the Big East tournament. In fact, my guess is that whoever wins that game will return to the field. For this reason, even though UAB is in now, they will probably drop out Thursday despite being idle.

 

Huge game tonight as San Diego tries to steal a bid from a bubble team. Not only would adding a 3rd WCC team take someone's spot, but it also might generally make the committee more reluctant to take a non-BCS squad with the final spots.

 

Finally, I want to repeat (mainly for those who email me), that this field is not necessarily my top 65 best teams.. but what I think the committee will do. For a sense of how I actually rate the teams (for example, I rate Villanova ahead of many bubble teams who make this field), check out my Top 50.

 

ONE

Memphis*

North Carolina

Tennessee*

UCLA*

 

TWO

Texas *

Kansas

Duke*

Georgetown*

 

THREE

Wisconsin*

Xavier*

Louisville

UCONN

 

FOUR

Stanford

Notre Dame

Purdue

Vanderbilt

 

FIVE

Drake*

Indiana

Butler*

Marquette

 

SIX

Michigan State

Washington State 

Gonzaga*

BYU*

 

SEVEN

Clemson

Oklahoma 

Pittsburgh

Mississippi State

 

EIGHT

USC

South Alabama*

Saint Mary's 

UNLV 

 

NINE

Miami (FL)

Baylor

West Virginia

Kansas State

 

TEN

Arkansas

Kent State*

Texas A&M

Davidson*

 

ELEVEN

Arizona

UMASS

New Mexico

Kentucky

 

TWELVE

Illinois State

Ohio State

Dayton

UAB

 

THIRTEEN

Arizona State

George Mason*

Oral Roberts*

Cornell*

 

FOURTEEN

Boise State*

Winthrop*

CS Northridge*

Rider*

 

FIFTEEN

UMBC*

Belmont*

American*

Stephen F. Austin*

 

SIXTEEN + ONE

Austin Peay*

Sacred Heart*

Portland State*

Morgan State* /Alabama State*

 

* = Conference champion

Bold = Tournament Bid

 

League Winners (31)

America East - UMBC

A-10 - Xavier

ACC - Duke

Atlantic Sun - Belmont

Big 12 - Texas

Big East - Georgetown

Big Sky - Portland State

Big South - Winthrop

Big Ten - Wisconsin

Big West - CS Northridge

CAA - George Mason

Conference USA - Memphis

Horizon - Butler

Ivy - Cornell

MAAC - Rider

MAC - Kent State

MEAC - Morgan State

MVC - Drake

MWC - BYU

Northeast - Sacred Heart

Ohio Valley - Austin Peay

Pac-10 - UCLA

Patriot - American

SEC - Tennessee

Southern - Davidson

Southland - Stephen F. Austin

SWAC - Alabama State

Summit - Oral Roberts

Sun Belt - South Alabama

WAC - Boise State

WCC - Gonzaga

 

Last In:  Ohio State, Dayton, UAB, Arizona State

Last Out: Oregon, Syracuse, Ole Miss, VCU

 

 

- Check out yesterday's Daily Bracketology to compare the subtle changes.

- Also, I've added the Early Bird Prediction: #2.. a filled in tournament bracket based on current Bracketology!