NCAA Tournament BubbleBoard: March 2nd

    
March 2nd, 2009

Updated as of 3/02/09, 12:10 pm.

 

The BubbleBoard is a new feature on CHN that ranks at-large contenders using a variety of standard resume components. The core of the ranking is the RPI, and like the RPI, the better you are, the lower your total score is. Bonus points are awarded for Top 50 success (particularly) & Road/Neutral wins. Further bonuses are awarded for playing challenging schedules, and to a lesser extent, challenging schedules in non-conference play.

 

The key reason the BubbleBoard exists is to expose teams that have performed extremely poorly in Top 50 games and games away from home. Ultimately, you want tourney teams capable of competing with the best away from home.

 

Interesting changes since previous update on 2/25

- Tennessee (becoming a lock) & Illinois St (little chance) were removed from the list. Instead, probable at-large teams Dayton & Ohio State were added.

- BYU jumps substantially thanks to a good win over the weekend, and a good win by SDSU which gives the Cougars back those top 50 wins.

- Other gainers include Oklahoma St, Michigan, Virginia Tech, and Rhode Island

- Rhode Island was the weekend's big winner, as they jumped from last on the list to firmly in the bubble mix.

- Temple and USC had easily the worst weeks, while Davidson drops merely due to RPI/SOS calculations

 

Faker teams include: George Mason, San Diego St, South Carolina, Siena, Temple, UAB. (Temple replaces Oklahoma St.)

Dangerous teams include: Arizona,  BYU, Kentucky, Ohio St, UNLV (BYU & Ohio State added. BC removed)

 

Team RPI SOS NCSOS Comp. = T50 W T50 L R/N W R/N L Bonus = Total = Was
Pittsburgh 1 21 22 3 7 2 9 3 53 -50 -49
BYU 22 44 70 22 4 3 9 4 29 -7 17
Butler 20 98 13 23 2 1 11 3 21 2 2
Wisconsin 32 6 26 24 4 8 6 7 16 8 20
Ohio St 42 28 132 37 6 8 4 6 29 8 NA
Texas A&M 35 35 155 34 4 5 6 6 21 12 12
Georgetown 39 1 9 28 4 8 5 7 15 12 26
Dayton 28 111 122 34 3 2 7 5 20 13 NA
Oklahoma St 31 10 29 24 3 8 6 7 9 14 24
UNLV 51 77 152 48 5 3 6 5 32 16 11
Arizona 47 34 72 39 5 7 5 9 22 17 13
Minnesota 37 53 201 38 4 6 5 6 19 19 17
Michigan 50 11 62 38 5 9 4 9 18 20 31
Miami 44 12 213 40 4 7 6 6 19 22 31
Boston College 48 50 211 46 4 6 6 5 21 25 22
Utah St 30 126 173 38 1 1 10 4 12 27 26
Creighton 39 112 130 42 1 0 10 4 13 29 35
Cincinnati 55 17 76 43 4 9 5 7 14 29 27
Siena 29 64 3 26 0 4 8 6 -3 29 26
Virginia Tech 59 37 164 51 4 7 8 7 20 31 41
Maryland 52 25 156 45 4 9 4 7 13 32 41
Temple 45 32 51 36 1 5 9 9 0 36 28
Kentucky 66 63 182 59 4 6 7 5 22 37 31
UAB 41 65 45 36 1 6 8 8 -1 37 36
San Diego St 46 54 96 41 1 5 7 6 1 39 45
Saint Mary's 55 186 91 58 2 2 10 4 17 40 42
USC 58 13 66 44 3 9 3 10 2 42 33
Penn State 64 108 322 67 5 8 6 6 24 42 45
Baylor 63 19 79 49 3 9 4 7 6 43 38
Rhode Island 54 132 142 54 2 5 10 7 10 44 64
Florida 49 94 245 52 2 6 6 7 5 47 40
South Carolina 43 78 261 47 1 4 4 6 0 47 50
Davidson 67 155 16 60 1 4 11 3 10 51 40
Nebraska 74 33 156 61 3 7 3 7 8 53 51
Providence 68 51 147 58 2 7 5 7 3 55 57
George Mason 56 107 42 50 0 2 6 9 -6 55 51
Kansas St 73 98 311 72 3 4 5 6 15 57 60
New Mexico 70 92 167 63 2 4 5 8 6 58 55
Notre Dame 69 49 259 63 3 9 5 10 4 59 61

NC-SOS = Non-conference strength of schedule

Comp. = Modified RPI taking into account SOS/NCSOS a bit more

R/N = Road/neutral