NCAA Tournament: Odds of a Seed Advancing
These numbers show that there is a wide gap between the #1 seeds and everyone else, especially when it comes to making the finals. While its great to pick a couple cinderella teams, you're best off not picking those teams to actually win it all.
To see the specific amount of times each seed has advanced to each round (ie, 95/100), instead of percentages, check out this chart instead.
|
Any Given Team's Chance to Survive (by Round) |
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|
Seed |
||||||
|
1st |
2nd |
Sweet 16 |
Elite Eight |
Final Four |
Finals |
|
|
1 |
100.0 |
87.0 |
70.7 |
41.3 |
22.8 |
14.1 |
|
2 |
95.7 |
63.0 |
46.7 |
22.8 |
10.9 |
4.3 |
|
3 |
83.7 |
47.8 |
22.8 |
13.0 |
8.7 |
3.3 |
|
4 |
80.4 |
43.5 |
15.2 |
9.8 |
2.2 |
1.1 |
|
5 |
69.6 |
37.0 |
5.4 |
4.3 |
2.2 |
0.0 |
|
6 |
68.5 |
38.0 |
13.0 |
3.3 |
2.2 |
1.1 |
|
7 |
64.1 |
19.6 |
6.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
8 |
45.7 |
9.8 |
6.5 |
3.3 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
|
9 |
54.3 |
3.3 |
1.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
10 |
35.9 |
17.4 |
6.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
11 |
31.5 |
12.0 |
4.3 |
2.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
12 |
31.5 |
15.2 |
1.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
13 |
19.6 |
4.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
14 |
16.3 |
2.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
15 |
4.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
16 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
More NCAA Tournament Bracket Tips
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