Pac-10 Basketball: Fantasy Preview

    
November 2nd, 2009

This is the 5th of six fantasy stats projections for BCS conference starters, one of my favorite series of the year, and a helpful guide when drafting for fantasy college basketball leagues. For an idea of whether I know what I'm talking about, check out last year's Pac-10 Stats Projection. As always, some teams were nailed better then others..

 

Keep in mind stats are highly dependent on minutes, and freshmen are obviously the hardest to predict. I try to note places below where other starters not listed may emerge or where competition for major minutes exist. Stats are listed by ppg, rpg, and then apg.

 

PAC-10

 

ARIZONA

G Nic Wise - 19, 4, 4
G Kyle Fogg - 11, 3, 3
F Jamelle Horne - 10,7, 1
F Solomon Hill - 7, 4, 1
C Kyryl Natyazkho - 9, 6, 1

Notes: The question here is where will scoring come from besides Wise? Fogg should be much improved this year, but the incoming bigs are no sure things.

 
ARIZONA STATE

G Derek Glasser - 10, 3, 5
G Ty Abbott - 11, 4, 2
G/F Trent Lockett - 8, 4, 1
F Rihards Kuksiks - 14, 5, 2
C Eric Boateng - 4, 4, 0

Notes: Kuksiks will need to step up his scoring output wiith Harden & Pendergraph no longer around. Lockett is a freshman, and is not guaranteed to start. Jamelle McMillan, the backup PG, could also start in a 3-guard lineup. Either way, McMillan should be good for 5 ppg and 3 apg. 

CALIFORNIA

G Jerome Randle - 19, 4, 5
G Patrick Christopher - 17, 4, 3
F Theo Robertson - 12, 4, 3

F Jamal Boykin - 11, 7, 1

C Markhuri Sanders-Frison - 6, 7, 1

Notes: Last year, I severly underrated Jerome Randle's numbers and overrated the freshman. This year, the only unsettled position is up front, where Juco transfer Sanders-Frison will have competition from holdover reserve Harper Kamp. Backup guard Jorge Gutierrez will see 20 mpg as wel.

OREGON
G Malcolm Armstead - 6, 2, 4
G Tajuan Porter - 17, 3, 3
G LeKendric Longmire - 8, 4, 1
F Joevan Catron - 8, 8, 1
C Michael Dunigan - 12, 8, 1

Notes: Oregon hopes Armstead, a Juco newcomer, is the answer at PG. Dunigan averaged 8 & 5 last year in under 20 mpg and should be markedly better.

OREGON STATE

G Calvin Haynes - 14, 3, 2
G Seth Tarver - 7, 5, 2
G Lathen Wallace - 10, 3, 2
F Daniel Deane - 8, 6, 1
F Roland Schaftenaar - 13, 5, 3

Notes: Haynes was one of the bigger fantasy suprises in the Pac-10 last year, and its hard to expect much more then what he showed. Schaftenaar's production also jumped markedly last year, and he could score a bit more if his outside shooting % increases.

STANFORD

G Drew Shiller - 5, 2, 4
G Jeremy Green - 10, 3, 1
F Landry Fields - 16, 7, 2
F Andrew Zimmerman - 5, 4, 1
F Josh Owens - 11, 7, 2

Notes: Fields is the only fantasy performer of note here. Owens, a junior is your 2nd best bet. He shot a high % from the floor last year as well.

UCLA

G Jerime Anderson - 6, 2, 4

G Malcolm Lee - 11, 4, 2
F Tyler Honeycutt - 12, 4, 2
F Nikola Dragovic - 12, 5, 2
C Drew Gordon - 8, 7, 1

Notes: Dragovic is the only guy returning who played 20 mpg last year. He's a solid shooter, but will have space to shoot? Honeycutt is a big-time freshman, but last year's headline newcomer (Holiday) only averaged 9 ppg.

USC

G Donte Smith - 7, 2, 3
G Dwight Lewis - 16, 4, 3
F Marcus Johnson - 6, 4, 1
F Leonard Washington - 11, 6, 1
F Alex Stepheson - 10, 8, 1

Notes: Lewis is the go-to scorer now on a team lacking a true star. Stepheson averaged 4 ppg and 5 rpg at UNC two seasons ago and should come close to doubling that.

 

WASHINGTON

G Isaiah Thomas - 14, 3, 4
G Abdul Gaddy - 12, 4, 4
F Quincy Pondexter - 14, 7, 2
F Matthew Bryan-Amaning - 10, 7, 1
F Darnell Gant - 5, 5, 1

Notes: Thomas had a fine freshman year, but UW would be better served if he didn't shoot as much and others like Gaddy & Pondexter helped out. Bryant-Amaning is a potential breakout player.

 

WASHINGTON STATE

G Reggie Moore - 9, 3, 3
G Nikola Koprivica - 6, 3, 2
G Klay Thompson - 18, 5, 3
F Brock Motum - 8, 5, 1
F DeAngelo Castro - 8, 8, 1

Notes: Klay Thompson has future 20 ppg potential. Moore & Motum are newcomers, and both should see 25+ mpg from the get-go.

 

 

Projected Pac-10 Leaders

 

Top PPG
1) Jerome Randle (19)
2) Nic Wise (19)
3) Klay Thompson (18)

 

Top RPG
1) Castro/Catron/Dunigan/Stepheson (8)

 

Top APG
1) Derek Glasser (5)
2) Jerome Randle (5)

3) Multiple Players (4)

 

Fantasy Stats Preview Archive

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