Quarterfinals Predictions: Big 12, Big East, CUSA, MAC, MWC, Pac-12

    
March 8th, 2012

Our g guru has been on fire this year. He'll be picking (just about) every conference tournament game over the next week, including tonight's three key championship games. Games listed in order with later rounds on top and earlier rounds at the bottom. Read more about Championship Week at CollegeHoops.net.

 

BIG EAST QUARTERFINALS: AT NEW YORK CITY

 

(1) Syracuse (30-1, 17-1) vs. (9) Connecticut (20-12, 8-10)

 

Tipoff: Noon. TV: ESPN. Regular-season meetings: Feb. 11 – Syracuse 85-67; Feb. 25 – Syracuse 71-69. RPI: Syracuse 1, UConn 33. Analysis: Can’t see any way this one doesn’t get out of hand early. Line: Syracuse -7. Pick: Syracuse 84, Connecticut 67.

 

(4) Cincinnati (22-9, 12-6) vs. (5) Georgetown (23-7, 23-7)

 

Tipoff: 2 p.m. TV: ESPN. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 9 – Cincinnati 68-64*. RPI: Cincinnati 67, Georgetown 9. Analysis: The advantage always goes to a team with one game under its belt in a conference tournament. Line: Georgetown -3. Pick: Georgetown 67, Cincinnati 60.

 

(2) Marquette (25-6, 14-4) vs. (7) Louisville (22-9, 10-8)

 

Tipoff: 7 p.m. TV: ESPN. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 16 – Marquette 74-63. RPI: Marquette 7, Louisville 21. Analysis: Marquette's defense will be the difference. Pick: Marquette 63, Louisville 53.

 

(3) Notre Dame (21-10, 13-5) vs. (6) South Florida (19-12, 12-6)

 

Tipoff: 9 p.m. TV: ESPN. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 10 – Notre Dame 60-49. RPI: Notre Dame 38, South Florida 39. Analysis: South Florida needs a win and it will get one. This Irish will find points tough to come by. Pick: South Florida 57, Notre Dame 52.

 

 

BIG 12 QUARTERFINALS: AT KANSAS CITY

 

(4) Baylor (25-6, 12-6) vs. (5) Kansas State (21-9, 10-8)

 

Tipoff: 12:30 p.m. TV: ESPN2. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 10 – Baylor 75-73*; Feb. 18 – Kansas State 57-56. RPI: Baylor 10, Kansas State 40. Analysis: The Bears are just too skilled to lose to Kansas State twice. Line: Baylor -2. Pick: Baylor 69, Kansas State 64.

 

(1) Kansas (26-5, 16-2) vs. (9) Texas A&M (13-17, 4-14)

 

Tipoff: 3 p.m. TV: ESPN2. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 23 – Kansas 64-54; Feb. 22 – Kansas 66-58. RPI: Kansas 6, Texas A&M 168. Analysis: Despite a lackluster effort this season, the Aggies have a lot of talent and they’ll fight. Pick: Kansas 67, Texas A&M 62.

 

(2) Missouri (27-4, 14-4) vs. (7) Oklahoma State (14-17, 7-11)

 

Tipoff: 7 p.m. TV: Big 12 Network. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 25 – Oklahoma State 79-72; Feb. 15 – Missouri 83-65. RPI: Missouri 16, Oklahoma State 120. Analysis: The Tigers will use the their home crowd advantage – and hot shooting – to drub OK State. Pick: Missouri 82, Oklahoma State 66.

 

(3) Iowa State (22-9, 12-6) vs. (6) Texas (19-12, 9-9)

 

Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. TV: Big 12 Network. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 4 – Iowa State 77-71; Jan. 24 – Texas 62-55. RPI: Iowa State 29, Texas 57. Analysis: Iowa State. No, Texas. No, Iowa State. No, Texas. Line: Texas -1. Pick: Texas 72, Iowa State 70.

 

 

CONFERENCE USA QUARTERFINALS: AT MEMPHIS

 

(2) Southern Mississippi (24-7, 11-5) vs. (10) East Carolina (15-15, 5-11)

 

Tipoff: 1 p.m. TV: CBS Sports Network. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 4 – Southern Miss 78-76; Jan. 25 – Southern Miss 72-60. RPI: Southern Miss 17, ECU 162. Analysis: Southern Miss is one of the most fascinating NCAA cases in a long time. The Eagles will put any doubt to rest with a big win. Pick: Southern Mississippi 81, East Carolina 60.

 

(3) Tulsa (17-13, 10-6) vs. (6) Marshall (19-12, 9-7)

 

Tipoff: 3:30 p.m. TV: CBS Sports Network. Regular-season meetings: Feb. 4 – Tulsa 79-70. RPI: Tulsa 113, Marshall 57. Analysis: Marshall will win with defense and rebounding. Pick: Marshall 66, Tulsa 57.

 

(1) Memphis (23-8, 13-3) vs. (8) Texas-El Paso (14-16, 7-9)

 

Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. TV: CBS Sports Network. Regular-season meetings: Feb. 18 – UTEP 60-58*. RPI: Memphis 18, UTEP 145. Analysis: The Tigers’ loss to UTEP was their only bad loss in February. It wasn’t a fluke. The minors will keep it low-scoring and close. Pick: Memphis 63, Texas-El Paso 59.

 

(4) Central Florida (21-9, 10-6) vs. (5) Alabama-Birmingham (14-15, 9-7)

 

Tipoff: 10 p.m. TV: CBS Sports Network. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 21 – Central Florida 48-41*; March 3 – Central Florida 71-63. RPI: UCF 61, UAB 111. Analysis: The Knights have too much firepower. Pick: Central Florida 69, Alabama-Birmingham 54.

 

 

MAC QUARTERFINALS: AT CLEVELAND

 

(4) Kent State (20-10, 10-6) vs. (8) Western Michigan (13-19, 6-10)

 

Tipoff: 7 p.m. TV: STO. Regular-season meetings: Feb. 4 – Kent State 78-73 (OT). RPI: Kent State 104, Western Michigan 201. Analysis: It appears that the Broncos are finally starting to play like the team that was expected to win their division this season. They may even win this game against inconsistent Kent. Pick: Kent State 68, Western Michigan 65.

 

(3) Ohio (24-7, 11-5) vs. (7) Toledo (17-15, 7-9)

 

Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. TV: STO. Regular-season meetings: Feb. 8 – Toledo 77-73. RPI: Ohio 70, Toledo 247. Analysis: Ohio is poised for a deep run – and possibly a championship – in the MAC Tournament. Pick: Ohio 71, Toledo 60.

 

 

MOUNTAIN WEST QUARTERFINALS: AT LAS VEGAS

 

(1) San Diego State (24-6, 10-4) vs. (8) Boise State (13-16, 3-11)

 

Tipoff: 3 p.m. TV: The Mtn. Regular-season meetings: Feb. 1 – San Diego State 58-56; Feb. 29 – San Diego State 66-53*. RPI: San Diego State 26, Boise State 165. Analysis: San Diego State went through a bit of a lull, but the Aztecs appear to be back. Line: San Diego State -6. Pick: San Diego State 69, Boise State 58.

 

(4) Colorado State (19-10, 8-6) vs. (5) Texas Christian (17-13, 7-7)

 

Tipoff: 5:30 p.m. TV: CBS Sports Network. Regular-season meetings: Jan 14 – Colorado State 95-89 (2OT); Feb. 11 – TCU 75-71. RPI: Colorado State 19, TCU 101. Analysis: This one really could go either way, but the Rams are on the bubble and desperate for a big win. Line: Colorado State -3½. Pick: Colorado State 72, Texas Christian 68.

 

(2) New Mexico (24-6, 10-4) vs. (7) Air Force (13-15, 3-11)

 

Tipoff: 9 p.m. TV: The Mtn. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 31 – New Mexico 81-42*; Feb. 29 – New Mexico 86-56. RPI: New Mexico 34, Air Force 169. Analysis: Interesting. New Mexico has dominated the season series, but 14½ in the first round? That’s a tough task with all of the different variables. Line: New Mexico -14½. Pick: New Mexico 79, Air Force 67.

 

(3) UNLV (25-7, 9-5) vs. (6) Wyoming (20-10, 6-8)

 

Tipoff: 11:30 p.m. TV: CBS Sports Network. Regular-season meetings: Feb. 4 – Wyoming 68-66; March 3 – UNLV 74-63. RPI: UNLV 14, Wyoming 82. Analysis: The Rebels will not win by double-digits. Line: UNLV -10½. Pick: UNLV 67, Wyoming 60.

 

 

PAC-12 QUARTERFINALS: AT LOS ANGELES

 

(1) Washington (21-9, 14-4) vs. (9) Oregon State (19-13, 7-11)

 

Tipoff: 3:10 p.m. TV: FSN. Regular-season meetings: Dec. 29 – Washington 95-80; Feb. 12 – Washington 75-72*. RPI: Washington 59, Oregon State 146. Analysis: This game will be played with an up-and-down pace, and the Huskies have too many horses. Pick: Washington 88, Oregon State 68.

 

(4) Arizona (21-10, 12-6) vs. (5) UCLA (19-13, 11-7)

 

Tipoff: 5:40 p.m. TV: FSN. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 5 – UCLA 65-58; Feb. 25 – Arizona 65-63. RPI: Arizona 85, UCLA 109. Analysis: UCLA is playing its best basketball. The Bruins would likely have won this game even before Josiah Turner’s suspension. Pick: UCLA 65, Arizona 59.

 

(2) California (23-8, 13-5) vs. (7) Stanford (21-10, 10-8)

 

Tipoff: 9:10 p.m. TV: FSN. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 29 – Cal 69-59; March 4 – Stanford 75-70. RPI: Cal 37, Stanford 94. Analysis: Stanford will keep this close and could pull the upset. Pick: Cal 71, Stanford 69.

 

(3) Oregon (22-8, 13-5) vs. (6) Colorado (20-11, 11-7)

 

Tipoff: 11:40 p.m. TV: FSN. Regular-season meetings: Feb. 4 – Colorado 72-71; March 1 – Oregon 90-81. RPI: Oregon 54, Colorado 83. Analysis: Both regular-season matchups were close. This one won’t be. Pick: Oregon 68, Colorado 56.

 

 

WAC QUARTERFINALS: AT LAS VEGAS

 

(3) Idaho (18-12, 9-5) vs. (6) Hawaii (15-15, 6-8)

 

Tipoff: 3 p.m. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 28 – Idaho 76-70; March 2 – Idaho 82-63. RPI: Idaho 139, Hawaii 207. Analysis: Love the Rainbows in this one – at least to keep it close. Line: Idaho -5. Pick: Idaho 68, Hawaii 66.

 

(2) New Mexico State (23-9, 10-4) vs. (7) Fresno State (13-19, 3-11)

 

Tipoff: 5:30 p.m. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 28 – New Mexico State 60-56; March 3 – New Mexico State 83-78 (OT). RPI: New Mexico State 34, Fresno State 224. Analysis: The Aggies have the talent to win this thing. Line: New Mexico State -7. Pick: New Mexico State 75, Fresno State 65.

 

(1) Nevada (25-5, 13-1) vs. (8) San Jose State (9-21, 1-13)

 

Tipoff: 9 p.m. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 12 – Nevada 81-57; Feb. 11 – Nevada 76-70*. RPI: Nevada 45, San Jose State 279. Analysis: Nevada may be an at-large team if it doesn’t win the tournament, but the Wolf Pack has to at least win this one. Line: Nevada -10½. Pick: Nevada 75, San Jose State 62.

 

(4) Utah State (17-14, 8-6) vs. (5) Louisiana Tech (16-15, 6-8)

 

Tipoff: 11:30 p.m. Regular-season meetings: Jan. 14 – Utah State 69-65; Feb. 9 – Utah State 77-63. RPI: Utah State 135, Louisiana Tech 177. Analysis: The Bulldogs are playing well and could pull off a small upset. Line: Utah State -4½. Pick: Louisiana Tech 63, Utah State 61.

 

*Road win

 

Greg Against the Spread This Season: 143-108-3