SEC: Five-Year Ranking

    
October 26th, 2008

 

SEC FIVE-YEAR STANDINGS

 

This ranking tries to answer a simple question: Who has been the best team in the SEC over the last five years?

 

A heavy emphasis is put on league play & NCAA Tournament success. NIT wins are meaningless here, as are non-conference wins.  Also, league tournaments wins are not taken into account. An original trial-scoring system included points for conference tourney wins. But then I realized the flukish nature of those tourney's did more harm than hurt: ie, 2008 Georgia, 2006 Syracuse, and 2004 Maryland ended up getting too much credit despite the reality that they were mediocre to sub-par teams. As it is, I feel satisfied this simple system does a good job of ranking the teams recent performance.

 

100 total points is set up to be the equivalent of batting .300 in baseball.. anything above and beyond is all-world stuff. 50 points is mediocre and you only start to get bad below 40 points.

 

The postseason scoring system is listed below, along with some related notes & thoughts.

 

Pos. Team 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Wins Gms. Points  
                     
1 Florida 9 12 10 13 8 52 80 65 Win %
    1st Round 2nd Round Champs Champs NIT     31 Post Pts.
                  96  
                     
3 Kentucky 13 14 9 9 12 57 80 71 Win %
    2nd Round Elite 8 2nd Round 2nd Round 1st Round     22 Post Pts.
                  93  
                     
2 Tennessee 7 6 12 10 14 49 80 61 Win %
    NIT X 2nd Round Sweet 16 Sweet 16     17 Post Pts.
                  78  
                     
4 Miss. St 14 9 5 8 12 48 80 60 Win %
    2nd Round 2nd Round X NIT 2nd Round     13 Post Pts.
                  73  
                     
5 Vanderbilt 8 8 7 10 10 43 80 54 Win %
    Sweet 16 NIT NIT Sweet 16 1st Round     16 Post Pts.
                  70  
                     
6 LSU 8 12 14 5 6 45 80 56 Win %
    NIT 1st Round Final Four X X     13 Post Pts.
                  69  
                     
7 Alabama 8 12 10 7 4 41 80 51 Win %
    Elite 8 1st Round 2nd Round NIT X     15 Post Pts.
                  66  
                     
8 Arkansas 4 6 10 7 9 36 80 45 Win %
    X X 1st Round 1st Round 2nd Round     8 Post Pts.
                  53  
                     
9 So. Carolina 8 7 6 4 5 30 80 38 Win %
    1sr Round NIT NIT X X     4 Post Pts.
                  42  
                     
10 Ole Miss 5 4 4 8 7 28 80 35 Win %
    X X X NIT NIT     2 Post Pts.
                  37  
                     
11 Georgia 7 2 5 8 4 26 80 33 Win %
    NIT X NIT X 1st Round     4 Post Pts.
                  37  
                     
12 Auburn 5 4 4 7 4 24 80 30 Win %
    X X X X X     0 Post Pts.
                  30  

 

-Ties are broken by favoring conference winning %

 

Thoughts

- While Florida obviously has the two national titles, Kentucky has actually won more league games in the last five years. In fact, Kentucky is just one of a few BCS teams that have finished over .500 in league play each season. Kansas, Pittsburgh, Texas, Stanford (surprisingly), and Wisconsin are the others.

- Kentucky is also one of the programs to make all 5 NCAA Tournaments. Arizona, Duke, Michigan State, North Carolina, Pittsburgh, Texas, and  Wisconsin are the others.

- Despite being 1 game away from 3rd in overall conference winning %, Mississippi State has had little postseason success. They're tied for 6th along with LSU in postseason success, never having gotten past the 2nd round.

- The SEC teams average about 12 postseason points per team, which is about average for BCS leagues. The ACC has 13.75 per team, which is the most.

- SEC teams have been past the first round 19 teams in the last five years. This is also about average, compared to 13 times for Pac-10 teams, but 25 times for ACC teams.

- Auburn is one of just a few BCS teams that haven't made the postseason in the past five years, along with Northwestern, St. John's, and South Florida.

 

Postseason Points

NIT = 1

NCAA 1st Round = 2

NCAA 2nd Round = 4

Sweet = 6

Elite 8 = 8

Final Four = 10

Final = 11*

Champs = 12*

 

* I've stopped giving 2 points per win in the final games, to prevent one year wonder teams from getting too much of a boost (ie, Georgia Tech or Ohio State in the Big Ten). Also, CBI bids receive no credit.

 

Archive

Pac-10: Five-Year Ranking

Big Ten: Five-Year Ranking