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State of '08: Virginia

October 15th, 2008

Duke or Carolina? BC or UMASS? Gonzaga or Washington.. or Washington State? What is the best program in each state? While there's not much competition in Hawaii.. there are great debates to be had in loaded regions like California, North Carolina, and Texas. The State of '08 is a ranking of every program in every state.. based mostly on recent success (the last five years) mixed in with subjective factors such as conference prestige, historical success, and overall program direction.

 

For more info, check out the State of '08 introduction.

 

VIRGINIA

 

VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH - VCU is in the middle of a great run that started in 2002. Besides making the 2004 & 2007 tourneys, the Rams also made the NIT in 2005 & 2008. More impressively, 6 of the last 7 teams have finished in the RPI Top 90 as the program has had a lot of success in non-conference play.

 

 

GEORGE MASON - Everyone remembers GMU's shocking 2006 Final Four run, but that was not an isolated case of success under Jim Larranaga. In the last decade, the Patriots have made 4 NCAA Tournaments, 2 NITs, and finished at or above .500 in CAA play every season

 

VIRGINIAIn the last 10 years Virginia has made 2 NCAA Tournaments (winning just 1 game) and a bunch of NITs, but haven't really had a breakout season (at least by BCS standards). Similarly, they've never really been very bad.. expect for now. Last year's team finished below the RPI Top 100 (127th) for the 1st time since the 90's, and this year's team will most likely not even crack the Top 150 or so.

 

OLD DOMINION - Except for a bad spell in the early part of the 2000s, ODU has been consistently solid over the last 20 years. The '05 & '07 teams made the Big Dance, while the '04 & '06 squads finished in the RPI Top 100. After some slippage last year, ODU is once again considered one of the league favorites (behind VCU).

 

VIRGINIA TECH - The Hokies have come a long way under Seth Greenberg, making the move to the ACC and making the Big Dance in 2007 (their first in a dozen years). The last 2 teams were also the first in that long gap to finish in the RPI Top 100 or to finish above .500 in conference play. This year's team should once again be competitive in league play.

 

6. RICHMOND - Richmond has some good history, but the last four years have been rather blah. 2007 was the program's worst year in a decade, and this year's team might have to settle once again for the CBI at best.

 

7. HAMPTON - The Pirates have been the MEAC's best team over the last decade. In 2001, 2002, and 2006, they won the league tournament and made other close runs in 2003 & 2005 (& were good once again last year before being shocked by Coppin in the league quarters). No surprise that most experts project them to win the league once again in 2009.

 

8. LIBERTY - Beginning in 2003, Liberty has been consistently solid in the Big South, never finishing below .500. In 2004, they reached the NCAA Tournament after blowing through the conference tournament.

 

9. WILLIAM & MARYThe Tribe are still looking for that elusive first NCAA trip, but have been making strides the last few seasons. Last year's team made a surprising CAA title game run, after finishing over .500 in league play for the first time in over a decade. They've also dominated the recent series against JMU.

 

10. JAMES MADISON - A once decent program, JMU has endured a brutal slump that began around '01 or '02. Last year's team won 10 games for the first time since 2003, and also set a high in that period with a whopping 5 wins in the CAA. New coach Matt Brady was hired in the off-season to turn things around.

 

11. RADFORD - Outside of a mediocre 2006 campaign, the last handful of seasons have been very uneventful for Radford fans. 5 out of 6 seasons seasons below .500 in Big South play, and a pair of consecutive 300+ RPI seasons won't cut it.

 

12. VMI - VMI is known for high-scoring offenses, but unfortunately they're not known for wins. From 2004-2006, this was one of the country's worst teams. Although the last two years have been better (thanks in part to Reggie Williams), there's been little to write home about outside of a decent run in the 07 conference tourney. 

 

13. NORFOLK STATE - The Spartans have been very consistent over the last decade, hovering around 10 or wins in the MEAC. In that time they never finished below .500 in conference play, but also haven't really come close to making the Big Dance. Last year's win over Richmond was probably their best non-conference win since 2002 (when they beat ODU on the road).

 

14. LONGWOOD - The Lancers are still trying to find their groove in D1. They've never finished above 300th in the RPI or won more than 8 D1 games. At least they knocked off in-state rivals Liberty & Norfolk State last year.

 

Last: Utah  - Next: Washington

State of '08: The Introduction (& State list/links)

 

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Comments

Anonymous's picture

VT Seems Quite Low on This List

Wow - is this a joke?

I understand that Virginia Tech has historically been a poor performing team. However, this is a team which has finished in the top four in the ACC (highest rated RPI conference) 3 of the 4 years they have been in the league. They have beaten UNC and Duke multiple times in this stretch. They have beaten double digit ranked teams. They are building bigtime with great recruits and construction for top level ACC basketball facilities. They have the support, the league, the coach, the money, and now the following to become a true national power. They return all but 1 player this year and figure to continue their rise to the top teir of ACC basketball.

So the fact that VCU, George Mason, UVA, and especially ODU are ahead of them in this ranking is a total farce. You have lost me as a reader!

Shawn Siegel's picture

Honestly, it wasnt even a

Honestly, it wasnt even a hard decision putting them 5th. Another justification to note is that ODU has beaten VT in 4 of 5 tries. No doubt VT is on the rise, but 2 decent seasons can't erase a dozen bad ones.. and the focus of these articles is afterall on the last 5 years. And sure VT has beaten Duke 2 times since joining the ACC, but you may remember VCU beating Duke in their lone meeting in a pretty important game..

CHN MemberCHN Writer500+ CHN PointsUgroup Member
Justin's picture

Then I must be certifiably insane

So how can you say that Virginia Tech is better than the 4 teams ahead of them when Tech has only made the NCAA Tournament once in 12 years? Also before you make a point to say that you are especially better than ODU why don't you try beating ODU. Over the last 5 years Tech only beat ODU once and ODU leads the overall series 14-7. So before you go bashing ODU you might want to check the facts.

Justin U.'s picture

Re: VT Seems Quite Low on This List

I didn't know too much about the ODU-VT series but it brings a big grin to my face that a CAA school has owned a now ACC school for the past several years, and leads the overall series.

I'm with the rest of you guys totally pwning this first posting fool. I think he pulled a Billy Packer in hyping a BCS school, the main evidence found in his sentence "However, this is a team which has finished in the top four in the ACC (highest rated RPI conference) 3 of the 4 years they have been in the league." Belonging to the highest rated RPI conference automatically makes VT shoot to the top of the list ;)

Anyways, I've been following GMU since '00-01, so go Pats! and go CAA!(except when the rest of you play GMU ;p)

Anonymous's picture

Really enjoyed this Series

First off great job overall in your analysis of each state. It has been fun seeing and reading CHN's view of how each program ranks in the state. I bet each State analysis has sparked some debate amongst in state rivals. Regarding your analysis, you may have forgotten ODU's post season NIT appearances including a NIT Final 4. Plus over the last 5 years ODU is either #1 or #2 in total wins for any team in the state even with last years slight drop. I could see UVA and GMU slipping a spot and ODU moving up a spot or two but for the most part it was a very fair analysis.

As for the Hokie High Nation out there.....ODU, VCU, and GMU will play you anytime. Put pressure on your AD and Coaches to step up to the court and play some of your in state competition again. ODU beat Hokie High in 01, 03, 05,and 07 with the Turkey's only win being 06. I don't think you want any more of ODU just ask your Coach on why he doesn't want to play us anymore. Coach Greenberg will say ..."he wants to upgrade his schedule"...Bull#$#@...he wants to play patsies for his OOC schedule. If your scared say your scared. Typical overhyped Hokie High fan.
Shawn....GREAT JOB !!!!!!

Guy's picture

Virginia Tech

The guy screaming about VT is clueless... good riddance if he holds true to the threat of not reading your columns anymore (note the anonymous tag). Before I even read your reply, I knew off the top of my head that ODU has owned them the last several years... so much that Greenberg has publically said he doesn't want to play ODU (he chalked up to RPI ratings). I think it just burns some people to think that a "mid-major" program can actually be better than their BCS school. Keep up the good work, and I'll be waiting for the Temple write up for the TOP 144 (which has become an annual rite for me). GO OWLS!!!

Shawn Siegel's picture

Thanks Fellas

Thanks for the kind words guys (& Guy literally..), I appreciate it

CHN MemberCHN Writer500+ CHN PointsUgroup Member
decker's picture

Good List

Considering your time frame of the last five years I could see UVA even moving below ODU too. Honestly, VCU, ODU & GMU are all about even, but I think you ranked them accordingly due to their most recent success on the big stage. VCU, GMU & ODU have all won NCAA games with VCU most recently, and ODU a decade ago. ODU has been to the post season 4 years in a row now, including an NIT Final Four. However that doesn't surpass a win over Duke on the big stage (VCU) or an NCAA final four several years ago, so I understand your reasoning. Anyone can see ODU owns Va. Tech as stated, with the Monarchs winning 4 out of the last 5. That one was a no brainer. If ODU didn't give away the game in the last 30 seconds of the CBI last year, the CAA would undoubtedly hold the top 3 spots in your poll. Good job and a good analysis.

Shawn Siegel's picture

Yea, its definitely close

Yea, its definitely close between those teams. What saves UVA is that up until last year, they did manage consistent Top 50-60 rpis that suggested they were better than their overall record suggests. Even though the VT fan above overrates merely being in a big conference, there still are major pitfalls playing against those teams on a weekly basis that hurt Virginia.

CHN MemberCHN Writer500+ CHN PointsUgroup Member
da's picture

JMU??

WHY ISN'T JMU NUMBER ONE OR AT LEAST TOP 5?!?!

oh yeah, we aren't very good!

I think this is a pretty good list. I do think JMU may be better than at least Liberty, I understand that this is a 5 year glimpse and our play can't really back up anything positive I can say!

I'm a huge JMU fan and I am excited to see what Matt Brady can do. Hopefully he can bring us back to the success we enjoyed with Lefty! Look at our football team, our academics, and our campus/student life...no reason why we can't bring in the recruits VCU/ODU/GMU bring in each year...we just need to earn some success over the next few years.

JC's picture

I'm an ODU grad which lives

I'm an ODU grad which lives in Roanoke. I put up with this VT 'holier than thou' crap all the time. It's really bad here, but it is somewhat expected because of where I live. VT fans couldn't be contained, with all the BS, when they moved to the ACC. They have only gotten worse. I attended all the ODU stompings we put on them. Greenberg cried and wined every time they got beat by a little CAA team. He definitely won't be scheduling us anymore, which is a shame for State of Virginia basketball. Of course, UVA won't schedule us either. I'm proud of ODU and CAA basketball. We prove ourselves year in and year out with the best brand of basketball. GO MONARCHS!!!

MS's picture

Liberty - Top 50 Recruiting Class

Good article, and while I'm a Harrisonburg native and JMU fan, someone just said "I do think JMU may be better than at least Liberty" .. I must say Liberty is clearly a program on the rise, one of the few non-BCS programs with a top 50 recruiting class; including Seth Curry (brother of Davidson's Stephen Curry) among others .. in fact it was the highest rated recruiting class in the State by most accounts.

david Arnette's picture

ah

i wasn't aware of Liberty's recruiting class. Could have done some research, but oh well. LIberty is so up and down in sports. They've had some great teams and some awful ones. Their football team is having a solid year and is in the FCS top 25. I guess that's how a school like that works. It's very religious, so a lot of kids wont consider it but then you can pull some studs away from bigger schools because of the environment.

all i know is that JMU has the tools to be up there with any of these guys! Look at us with Campanella and Lefty!

MATT BRADY SAVE US!!!

ODUsmitty's picture

ACC v. CAA in the state of Virginia

Shawn-

You clearly did not get the memo co-signed by Billy Packer, Jay Bilas, and Gary Williams that just being in a BCS conference should automatically vault you ahead of those pesky little mid-majors that screw everything up in the NCAAs. If only the selection committee could pair more of the too few mid autos and at-larges in the first rounds, then they could more quickly avoid the embarrassment of their success in March.

And I'll bet the mortage (yes, I still have one and pay mine on time) that there is no better college atmosphere in the great Commonwealth of Virginia than an ODU-VCU game, regardless of the arena in which it is played (and both the Ted and Stu are very nice).

The coaches and ADs of Va Tech and UVa are pansies for not scheduling tough home and home series with GMU/VCU/ODU. We would improve your RPI and your atmosphere in those morgues you call home courts.

Shawn Siegel's picture

maybe that 1st poster was

maybe that 1st poster was billy packer??

CHN MemberCHN Writer500+ CHN PointsUgroup Member
major ram's picture

VT

Simple....play the over rated CAA teams and prove VT should be #1. Seriously, the two BCS schools should play high mid majors. They know they are going to get two home games for one away. How bout reincarnating the Richmond T-D Tournament??? CAA is good b-ball. UVA and VT should be on another level with the $$$ they have. The BCS schools no longer have to worry about losing to these teams as the CAA teams will probably have a higher RPI and if they were to win, it would improve their RPI.

mark's picture

ODU's ranking, ahead of VT,

ODU's ranking, ahead of VT, is a tenuous one. (I'm an ODU grad.) It's based on the head-to-head match-ups of recent years. If the Hokies have had difficulty beating ODU, don't schedule GMU or VCU anytime soon.

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