nba draft lottery

Early Entry 2012 NBA Draft: Staying or Going?

Shawn Siegel — Thu, 26 Apr 2012 12:53:20 -0700

With the NBA Draft set for June 28th, time is running out for players to decide on their professional futures. We'll update the list every couple of days as players announce their status.

Also check out our 2012 NBA Draft Calendar for key dates in the process.

Staying or Going: NBA Draft Early Entry Decisions

Entering the Draft - Has Agent / Will Hire Agent

Harrison Barnes - G, North Carolina

Will Barton - SF, Memphis

Brad Beal - G, Florida

J'Covan Brown - G, Texas

Dominic Cheek - G, Villanova

Jared Cunningham - G, Oregon

Anthony Davis - F, Kentucky

Andre Drummond - C, UCONN

Justin Hamilton - C, LSU

Moe Harkless - SF, St. John's

John Henson - F, North Carolina

John Jenkins - G, Vanderbilt

Perry Jones - F, Baylor

Terrence Jones - F, Kentucky

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist - F, Kentucky

Doron Lamb - G, Kentucky

Jeremy Lamb - G, UCONN

Meyers Leonard - F, Illinois

Damian Lillard - G, Weber St

Kendall Marshall - G, UNC

Fab Melo - C, Syracuse

Khris Middleton - F, Texas A&M

Quincy Miller - G, Baylor

Tony Mitchell - F, Alabama

Arnett Moultrie - F, Mississippi St

Austin Rivers - PG, Duke

Quincy Roberts - SG, Grambling

Thomas Robinson - F, Kansas

Terrence Ross - G, Washington

Renardo Sidney - PF, Mississippi St

Jonathon Simmons - G, Houston

Jared Sullinger - F, Ohio St

Raymond Taylor - G, Florida Atlantic

Marquis Teague - G, Kentucky

Hollis Thompson - F, Georgetown

Dion Waiters - G, Syracuse

Maalik Wayns - G, Villanova

Royce White - F, Iowa St

Tony Wroten - G, Washington

Undecided

PJ Hairston - F, UNC

Josh Smith - C, UCLA

Staying in College

Kenny Boynton - G, Florida

Trey Burke - G, Michigan

Isaiah Canaan - G, Murray St

Tim Hardaway Jr. - G, Michigan

Myck Kabongo - PG, Texas

CJ Leslie - F, NC State

James McAdoo - F, UNC

CJ McCollum - G, Lehigh

Doug McDermott - SF, Creighton

Tony Mitchell - F, North Texas

Mike Moser - F, UNLV

Mason Plumlee - F, Duke

Andre Roberson - F, Colorado

Victor Rudd - SF, South Florida

Deshaun Thomas - F, Ohio St

Christian Watford - F, Indiana

Rodney Williams - F, Minnesota

Jeff Withey - C, Kansas

BJ Young - G, Arkansas

Patric Young - PF, Florida

Cody Zeller - F, Indiana

Please email shawn@collegehoops.net if you news has come out that contradicts this list.

2012 NBA Draft: Calendar

Shawn Siegel — Wed, 28 Mar 2012 08:22:43 -0700

Here's a brief rundown of how the calendar shakes out leading up to the 2012 NBA Draft.

April 11-14th - Portsmouth Invitational

A pre-Draft camp for seniors, though top prospects rarely attend

April 29th - Early-entry deadline

College players need to enter the Draft by the 29th, but can withdraw by May 8th

May 8th - College players need to withdraw

College players that declared early need to withdraw or be locked into the Draft

Mid/End of May - NBA Draft Lottery

Televised during the NBA Playoffs

End of May - NBA Draft Combine

Held in Chciago, for the top NBA Draft prospects

Early June - International Combine

Held in Europe, a camp for top international prospects

June 18th - International players need to withdraw

International players that declared early need to withdraw by the 18th or be locked into the Draft.

June 28th - 2012 NBA Draft

Held at the Prudential Center in Newark, NJ. The public can buy tickets to attend the Draft.

NBA Draft Lottery: #1 Pick History

Shawn Siegel — Mon, 18 May 2009 17:19:37 -0700

Since the modern lottery format was started in 1994, the team with the worst record has only received the #1 pick twice. (However, the team with the best odds of getting #1 has won it 3 times due to an expansion quirk in 1996.) The past four seasons have seen a rush of mediocre, but not awful, teams winning the #1 pick. Chicago last year defied the odds with just a 1.7% chance.

However, it seems like we're due for one of the worst 3 teams to snag the top spot (which will almost certainly go to Blake Griffin). Considering the worst team has a 25% chance of the #1 pick, and this is the 16th year, it would only make sense that this is the 4th time that the #1 team gets the top spot.

Oddly, no team with the 4th worst record has ever snagged the top spot, although the 5th worst teams have done so 3 times.

	TEAM	RECORD	STANDINGS	ODDS
2009	?	?	?	?
2008	Chicago	33-49	9th	1.7%
2007	Portland	32-50	7th	5.3%
2006	Toronto	27-55	5th	8.8%
2005	Milwaukee	30-52	6th	6.3%
2004	Orlando	21-61	1st	25.0%
2003	Cleveland	17-65	T-1st	22.5%
2002	Houston	28-54	5th	8.9%
2001	Washington	19-63	3rd	15.7%
2000	New Jersey	31-52	7th	4.4%
1999	Chicago	13-37	3rd	15.7%
1998	LA Clippers	17-65	3rd	22.6%
1997	San Antonio	20-62	3rd*	21.6%
1996	Philadelphia	18-64	2nd*	33.7%
1995	Golden St	26-56	5th	9.4%
1994	Milwaukee	20-62	T-2nd	16.3%

*The expansion Grizzlies were barred from the 1st pick in 97 & 98, despite having the worst overall record.

Also See:

2009 Lottery Odds

2009 NBA DRAFT: NBA Team Needs/Capsules - NBA Mock Draft - Top 100 Prospects

NBA Draft Lottery 2009: Odds & Ends

Shawn Siegel — Mon, 18 May 2009 10:13:02 -0700

The 2009 NBA Draft Lottery was held Tuesday night, May 19th, in Secaucus, NJ as always. The LA Clippers beat the odds and won the #1 pick in the 2009 Draft, which presumably will go to Blake Griffin. This is the 5th time in a row the team with the worst record did not win the #1 pick. (Last year, Chicago won the #1 pick despite having just 17 out of 1000 chances for that spot (1.7%), and used it on Rookie of the Year Derrick Rose. Read more about the history of the #1 pick in the Lottery).

The Kings had the best chance at #1 with 25% odds, but slid down to 4th place . Notice however, that they actually had less than a 50% chance combined (46.47) of getting the Top 2 picks. There was actually a better chance (53.53%) that they would get the 3rd or 4th pick. Washington won a tiebreaker with the Clippers, to get an extra shot at the first pick, but they were big losers along with the Kings, and drop into the 5th slot.

Memphis moved all the way from 7th to 2nd (8.3% chance), while Oklahoma City jumps a spot to 4th.

Despite all the conspiracy theories, the Knicks (with a 2.8% chance) did not get the #1 pick.

Draft Order

1. LA Clippers

2. Memphis

3. Oklahoma City

4. Sacramento

5. Washington

6. MInnesota

7. Golden State

8. New York

9. Toronto

10. Milwaukee

11. New Jersey

12. Charlotte

13. Indiana

14. Phoenix

Draft Odds

TEAM	RECORD	CHANCES	1ST	2ND	3RD
Sacramento	17-65	250	25.00%	21.5%	17.7%
Washington	19-63	178	17.80%	17.4%	16.4%
LA Clippers	19-63	177	17.70%	17.3%	16.4%
Oklahoma City	23-59	119	11.90%	12.6%	13.2%
Minnesota	24-58	76	7.60%	8.4%	9.5%
Memphis	24-58	75	7.50%	8.3%	9.4%
Golden State	29-53	43	4.30%	4.9%	5.8%
New York	32-50	28	2.80%	3.3%	3.9%
Toronto	33-49	17	1.70%	2.0%	2.4%
Milwaukee	34-48	10	1.10%	1.3%	1.6%
New Jersey	34-48	9	0.80%	1.0%	1.2%
Charlotte	35-47	7	0.70%	0.8%	1.0%
Indiana	36-46	6	0.60%	0.7%	0.9%
Phoenix	46-36	5	0.50%	0.6%	0.7%

Also See:

2008 Lottery Odds

2007 Lottery Odds